We all know that the bookmakers have an advantage over the players by default. It comes from the so-called margin that ensures they’re odds are not fair, but slightly lower in favor of the gambling operators. However, they are not faultless and despite their army of traders and odds compilers, bookmakers occasionally make mistakes. This is the reason why some people actually make money from betting.
When it comes to football, it is hard to recognize a certain market that is better for the players. It depends a lot on the specific league and event. In this article, we will concentrate on the most popular football competitions out there since the patterns there are similar. The list includes the English Premier League, the Champions League, the Spanish La Liga, the German Bundesliga, the Italian Serie A and other tournaments that attract huge cash volumes.
The markets that contain the most value in matches from those competitions are usually money lines and Asian Handicaps. It happens because most of the recreational players place their money on a certain winner. This forces the bookmakers to change the odds to prevent huge losses in case this outcome comes true. As a consequence, the price for this event not happening is where the value is.
Here’s an example: let’s say Manchester City plays at home against Norwich. The money of most of the recreational players will go on a home win. This means millions of pounds that lead to a drop in the odds for Manchester City. At the same time, the odds for a draw, Norwich win and some Asian Handicap lines like Norwich +1.5 AH skyrocket.
This particular case is really obvious as Manchester City is a huge favourite, but sometimes this happens in much closer matches. If most of the money go on one of the teams, the odds for the other become juicy. Make sure to take that in mind while considering where to place your own wagers.
Of course, the same thing could apply to other markets as well. Sometimes the over/under 2.5 goals odds are skewed in the same way, but 1X2 and Asian Handicaps are the usually the place you can find good value.